Dzul g's Without Prejudice
Finance: Is the US busting a busted bubble
| Finance: Is the US busting a busted bubble |
|
|
|
| Written by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud | |
| Saturday, 27 September 2008 | |
|
Is the US busting a busted bubble or is it putting money in the hands of capitalists to salvage a busted bubble? Dr Steve Sjuggerud has an answer and it is not a funny one. It is a serious analysis of the current financial crisis in the US.
Historically, when the government meddles in the markets, things don't turn out well... Instead of allowing bad banks to fail... instead of allowing the system to "clear"... the government pumped in cash to prop them up. The result was hundreds of banks and businesses existing in a sort of purgatory... neither private nor public... neither alive nor dead... They were known as "zombies." The result? Japan's Lost Decade. Real estate prices plummeted. Japan's main stock index, the Nikkei, dropped from a peak near 40,000 to a low of about 7,500 in 2003. Japan's government, of course, was trying to help. It's easy to say, "Let 'em fail." But when you're in the thick of things... when it comes right down to it... it's hard to do. When the public is pleading for government to "do something," then government feels compelled to, well, do something. In hindsight, most analysts agree that if the Japanese government had simply gotten out of the way and let the bad banks and businesses fail, the country wouldn't have experienced the Lost Decade of the 1990s... And the Lost Decade has basically morphed into the Lost Two Decades these days. Japanese residential real estate prices have fallen every year since the peak in 1990. And the Nikkei is still down 70% today – nearly 19 years later. Like the Japanese government did in 1990, today, for better or worse, the U.S. government feels compelled to do something. In the short run, things might actually be better... Whatever lawmakers do today will prop up the system for now. They'll save countless businesses that rely on lines of credit to function, and therefore save many jobs on "Main Street." But then things will likely get worse... We may dodge a major crisis... only to enter a "zombie" stage. This includes more regulation, lower returns on capital, and uncertainty about who's running what. We could end up with "zombie" financial institutions, companies that are not private but not exactly public either... owning mortgage bonds of uncertain value. In other words, like Japan's Lost Decade. It might be better for the government to do nothing and let businesses fail. But "do something" is the cry. And something is what's happening.So let's hope lawmakers do as much as can be done at this moment... which will then allow government to get out of the way as soon as possible. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is a student of the Depression. If he has any say, he won't let the mistakes of the Depression (or Japan's Lost Decade) happen here. If the government's got to do something, his plan, undoubtedly, will be to flood the system with dollars until the gears start turning again. If that's the plan, then holding at least some gold – the "anti-dollar" – is probably something worth doing...
Comments (0)
Write comment
|
| < Prev | Next > |
|---|
Israel's ground offensive is reaching a critical stage where its forces may soon have to face Hamas fighters on their chosen killing ground, the narrow, winding alleyways of Gaza City.
A gold mania could happen.
Here's why... Gold manias begin when investors flee real estate, currencies, bonds, and stocks because their prospects are so bleak. We're close to that right now.
For more information and guidelines on how to write for World Futures, please send an email to our editor at the following address:
Immediate topics of interest:
1. Israel and Palestine peace deal and the Obama campaign
2. The US and its diplomatic efforts towards Iran’s nuclear programme
3. The Asean and Human rights
Obama will lose Muslim supporters
Name: Asir Husain Kazi
Age: 11
School: SKTK - Ampang
Another example of American criminality
LAHORE, Pakistan — When Muhammad Saad Iqbal arrived home here in August after more than six years in American custody, including five at the military prison at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, he had difficulty walking, his left ear was severely infected, and he was dependent on a cocktail of antibiotics and antidepressants.
By Steve Doughty
Last updated at 12:09 AM on 25th October 2008
Islamic courts have been cleared to deal with family and divorce disputes.
We publish this opinion article from the Monday Morning newspaper published in Beirut, Lebanon. Article is written by Gwynne Dyer.
Wed, 12/31/2008 10:50 AM | Reader's Forum - The Jakarta Post
I would like to comment on the article titled "Religious freedom, tolerance in jeopardy", (The Jakarta Post, Dec. 24).
| More NEWS items here
Holocaust Lies and Romance Stop NATO Usenet Nato dilemma deepens CIA death squads US failure in Ossetia Who Is Section |
Mahathir urges boycott of US goods
-
PRLog-Free PressRelease Service------------------------
NATO as a global army? We tell you more!
- |
|